Antigua and Barbuda Falcons vs Guyana Amazon Warriors, Match 15 — Caribbean Premier League

Who will win ABF vs GAW?

Cric First AI picks Guyana Amazon Warriors · confidence 58/100

• GAW win toss, bowl first at North Sound's fast, bouncy strip.
• Same venue, same script as 2025 when bowling first won it for ABF.
• Shadab Khan's SR of 166 makes him ABF's late-innings X-factor.
• Mohammad Nabi arrives red-hot: 4-22 and 3-12 in his last two.

Thin fresh preview coverage for this exact fixture; leaning on one clear precedent at this venue.

Result: GAW won by 7 wickets. Prediction correct.

Toss and conditions

Guyana Amazon Warriors won the toss and chose to bowl first; Antigua and Barbuda Falcons bat first. Sir Vivian Richards Stadium has favoured attacking with the new ball on a fresh surface.

GAW copy the template that beat them here last year — bowl first, chase a modest total.

Shamar Joseph and Mohammad Nabi get early bounce to attack Hasan Nawaz and Rahkeem Cornwall.

Key factors

Projected score and key matchup

First innings: 150-165 — Bounce aids strokeplay early, but the surface can slow and two-pace late under lights.

Shadab Khan v Mohammad Nabi: Clean hitting against control in the closing overs could decide ABF's final total.

Players to watch

Head-to-head and form

Last documented meeting (2025, North Sound) went to Falcons by four wickets after they bowled first and skittled GAW for 99; small sample beyond that.

Antigua and Barbuda Falcons: Falcons bat first hoping to avoid a repeat of being bowled out for 99 here in 2025.

Guyana Amazon Warriors: Warriors chase the same bowl-first plan that worked against them last year, now in their own hands.

The story so far

Both sides arrive on the back of contrasting recent form. Antigua and Barbuda Falcons lean on Shadab Khan's finishing (52* off 20 balls in his last hit-out) and a young pace unit fronted by Joshua James, who has taken a wicket in each of his last three spells. Guyana Amazon Warriors counter with Mohammad Nabi in career-best rhythm — 4-22 then 3-12 across his last two outings — plus Glenn Phillips' power and Shai Hope's calm behind the stumps. The pair last met at this same ground in 2025, when Falcons chose to bowl, ran through Guyana for just 99, and chased the target down inside 19 overs — a scoreline neither camp will have forgotten walking out for today's toss.

Sir Vivian Richards Stadium's surface is again rated fast with bounce, and Imran Tahir has sent Falcons in to bat exactly as the conditions and last year's result suggested he should. Broken cloud, 81% humidity and a 23:00 UTC start raise the prospect of dew creeping into the second innings, adding further reason to bowl first and defend under lights rather than chase blind. The contest inside the contest is Shadab Khan against Nabi in the closing overs — clean hitting versus control — while up top Hasan Nawaz and Rahkeem Cornwall must survive the new-ball threat of Shamar Joseph before Falcons' powerplay total is set. If Guyana restrict early, as they did in 2025, a small target and dew-assisted chase makes them favourites to close it out.

The chase: GAW need 117

GAW hold a clear edge chasing just 117 on a ground where totals well past 150 are the norm.

A total of 116 is well short of par at this venue, where totals near 150-190 are common, so GAW start clear favourites. The pitch offers pace and bounce, so early wickets from Nabi or Joseph could still make this interesting under lights.

Conditions: Overcast, 89% humidity, fast outfield — bowlers get bounce but total looks light.

• 117 needed off 20 overs on a fast, bouncy North Sound pitch.
• Falcons folded for 116 — modest total, well within range here.
• Overcast, humid conditions with 100% cloud cover could aid seam bowlers.

Glenn Phillips v Joshua James: Phillips' aggressive intent against James' recent wicket-taking form with the new ball shapes GAW's powerplay approach.

• Falcons need early wickets or the chase gets away fast.
• GAW's powerplay approach decides how quickly this ends.
• Any middle-order stumble still favours the batting side hugely.