Trent Rockets (Women) vs Sunrisers Leeds (Women), Final — The Hundred Womens

Who will win TR-W vs SL-W?

Cric First AI picks Trent Rockets · confidence 52/100

• Trent Rockets won the toss, chose to bowl first at Lord's.
• Sunrisers Leeds bat first with Sutherland and Litchfield in blazing form.
• Pitch tagged spinning; 98% cloud cover adds early seam movement too.
• Deepti Sharma (2.2 wkts/inns) is the bowler both chases fear late.

Independent pundit previews for this fixture were scarce; reasoning here leans on pitch, weather and player-form data.

Result: TR-W won by 8 wickets. Prediction missed.

Toss and conditions

Trent Rockets won the toss and chose to bowl first; Sunrisers Leeds bat first. Gardner sends Sunrisers Leeds in under thick cloud at Lord's, backing early seam over first-strike batting.

Sunrisers Leeds must set a target blind; Trent Rockets bat knowing exactly the ask.

Banks on overcast seam movement for Bates and Garth up front, chasing later once Deepti's overs are done.

Key factors

Projected score and key matchup

First innings: 150-6 (chasing) — Par sits near 150 on a used, spin-assisted Lord's surface with early cloud cover.

Phoebe Litchfield v Ashleigh Gardner: Litchfield strikes at 205 against a Gardner attack managing barely a wicket a game of late.

Players to watch

Head-to-head and form

Sides have already met once this season, at Trent Bridge on 2 August, a chase that ran deep into the innings.

Trent Rockets (Women): Trent Rockets choose to defend first, leaning on Gardner's captaincy and control overs.

Sunrisers Leeds (Women): Sunrisers Leeds get first use of a used, spin-friendly Lord's surface with Sutherland set.

The story so far

Both sides arrive at Lord's mid-season with a live rivalry already ticking over. The pair have already met once this season, at Trent Bridge on 2 August, where the chase went deep — <cite index="1-1">Annabel Sutherland was unbeaten on 46 with Sunrisers Leeds still hunting the target with overs in hand</cite>, a reminder of how quickly her innings can tilt a chase. Trent Rockets have leaned on Natalie Sciver's strike rate and Ashleigh Gardner's all-round value to stay competitive, while Sunrisers Leeds have built around Sutherland and an explosive Phoebe Litchfield at the top, backed by Deepti Sharma's control with the ball. Neither attack has been consistently penetrative outside its one standout bowler, which is exactly why this toss matters so much.

At Lord's, a pitch flagged as spinning under near-total cloud cover changes the calculus completely. Gardner's decision to bowl first bets that overcast conditions and a hint of grass will let Samantha Bates and Kim Garth move the new ball early, before Trent Rockets' own spin — and Deepti Sharma at the other end — take over as the surface dries and grips. The contest turns on whether Litchfield and Sutherland can cash in inside the first third of the innings before turn sets in, and whether Sciver and Sophia Dunkley, so streaky in recent knocks, can then chase with the target and the pitch both known quantities. Deepti's control late could be the difference either way.

The chase: TR-W need 92

Trent Rockets, comfortably — 92 is a small target for a top order this strong, and Leeds have no bowling depth to defend it twice over.

Ninety-two on a fast, bouncy Lord's deck with the ball still hard is a modest ask for a top order this explosive. The only route back for Leeds is early swing under grey skies — anything else and this is over inside 60 balls.

Conditions: Overcast, 100% cloud, 25°C — seam movement window up front, total well below par.

• Sunrisers Leeds folded for 91 all out at Lord's.
• Trent Rockets need 92 with ten wickets in hand.
• Overcast, fast-bounce surface — new ball nipping early key.

Natalie Sciver v Deepti Sharma: If Sciver sees off Deepti's control overs untroubled, 92 disappears fast regardless of who else bowls.

• Leeds need two wickets inside six overs to matter.
• Any Sciver-Dunkley partnership ends this inside ten overs.
• Fast bounce could induce one rash shot early on.