Trent Rockets (Women) vs Sunrisers Leeds (Women), Match 17 — The Hundred Womens

Who will win TR-W vs SL-W?

Cric First AI picks Trent Rockets · confidence 58/100

The market makes the home side clear favourites — form and depth agree, but a spinning pitch keeps Leeds's slow bowlers in the game.

Result: TR-W won by 5 runs. Prediction missed.

Key factors

Projected score and key matchup

First innings: 138/7 — A used, spinning Trent Bridge pitch — par sits around 135–145 and runs on the board count.

Sophia Dunkley v Jess Jonassen: If Dunkley sweeps Jonassen out of the attack, the Rockets get to 140-plus; if Jonassen holds an end, Leeds strangle the middle overs.

Players to watch

Head-to-head and form

First-ever meeting — Sunrisers Leeds are the rebranded Superchargers, so the book is blank.

Trent Rockets (Women): Rockets bat first at home, powered by an in-form top four.

Sunrisers Leeds (Women): Sunrisers Leeds bowl first, backing spin on a turning Trent Bridge pitch.

The story so far

Trent Rockets arrive at home having won four of five, and the market makes them clear favourites. Sunrisers Leeds won the toss and put them in, backing a spin-heavy attack on a gripping Trent Bridge surface. The Rockets' top order is humming — Sophia Dunkley and Beth Mooney have both made recent fifties with Nat Sciver-Brunt behind them — while Leeds lean on their Australian spine of Phoebe Litchfield and Annabel Sutherland. Batting first, the Rockets will want 140-plus; anything less and Leeds's chase gains real teeth.

The chase: SL-W need 140

Trent Rockets hold the edge defending 140 on a gripping, spinning home surface. Hannah Baker's 3-28 kept the total in reach, but Leeds must now out-bat Gardner and Bates on a pitch made for them. Litchfield and Sutherland getting deep into the chase is Leeds's clearest path.

140 is above par on a surface offering this much grip. Leeds need their Australian pair — Litchfield up top, Sutherland to finish — to carry the chase deep, because a required rate that starts under eight climbs fast once Gardner and Bates settle into a rhythm.

Conditions: Overcast Nottingham afternoon on a used, spinning pitch — the ball is gripping and stopping, which favours the side defending with three frontline spin options.

Phoebe Litchfield v Ashleigh Gardner: Litchfield against Gardner's off-spin in the middle overs is the duel that decides whether the ask stays manageable.

• Chase powerplay: Smith vs Garth's new ball — Leeds need to bank runs before spin arrives.
• Middle overs: Litchfield vs Gardner and Bates — if the spinners settle, the rate balloons.
• Death: Sutherland vs Phillips — the Rockets hold the edge if it goes to the last ten balls.