Trent Rockets (Men) vs Manchester Super Giants (Men), Final — The Hundred Mens

Who will win TR vs MSG?

Cric First AI picks Manchester Super Giants · confidence 60/100

• MSG won the toss, chose to bowl under full Lord's cloud cover.
• Trent Rockets bat first despite topping the table all season.
• Overton dismissed Seifert cheaply when these sides last met in July.
• Billings faces the club he beat in the 2025 Hundred final.

Conditions and squad data align cleanly, but no explicit pre-toss pundit consensus was found on this specific final.

Result: MSG won by 5 wickets. Prediction missed.

Toss and conditions

Manchester Super Giants won the toss and chose to bowl first; Trent Rockets bat first. Overcast, fast-and-bouncy Lord's surface with total cloud cover — seam now, chase later.

Bowling first lets MSG's seamers attack fresh Lord's grass before any evening dew helps the chase.

Full cloud cover and Lord's bounce hand Josh Tongue and Gus Atkinson first use of the new ball.

Key factors

Projected score and key matchup

First innings: 140-150 (Trent Rockets, batting first) — Fast, bouncy Lord's surfaces under full cloud typically favour bowlers in the first innings before flattening out.

Tim Seifert v Craig Overton: Overton had Seifert caught cheaply in July; a rematch is likely inside the Rockets' powerplay overs.

Players to watch

Head-to-head and form

TR 1 – 0 MSG (2026 season (1 meeting)). Trent Rockets chased down 138 to beat Super Giants by six wickets in July, Finn Allen's 72* sealing it while Craig Overton had earlier removed Tim Seifert cheaply.

Trent Rockets (Men): Trent Rockets topped the men's Hundred table to reach the final directly.

Manchester Super Giants (Men): Manchester Super Giants scraped through via a 20-run Eliminator win over SunRisers Leeds.

The story so far

Trent Rockets arrive as the form side of the summer, topping the men's Hundred table to book a direct final berth, while Manchester Super Giants had to survive first, edging SunRisers Leeds by 20 runs in Friday's Eliminator just two days ago. The two teams have already met once this season, in July, when Rockets chased down Super Giants' 137 for 3 with six wickets in hand, Finn Allen's 72* doing the heavy lifting after Craig Overton ripped through the top order to have Tim Seifert caught cheaply. Sam Billings, now leading Rockets, was on the other side of a Hundred final twelve months ago, captaining Oval Invincibles to a title-clinching win over this very club.

Lord's is offering fast bounce under complete cloud cover, and Manchester Super Giants' decision to bowl first reads as the conventional call in these conditions — get Josh Tongue and Gus Atkinson working with the new Duke ball while the surface still has some zip, and defer the chase until the pitch has settled. That flips the pattern from July, when it was Rockets doing the successful chasing. The Seifert-Overton rematch is an immediate subplot inside the first ten balls, while Paul Walter's form with the bat could be exactly what Super Giants need if the target stays gettable into the back end of their reply.

The chase: MSG need 159

MSG hold a slight edge with 100 balls and depth in Walter, Seifert and Buttler to chase a modest 159.

159 is a stiff but gettable chase at Lord's if Paul Walter or Tim Seifert cash in early against the new ball. Trent Rockets' seam-heavy attack has the bounce to strangle scoring if MSG lose two inside the first 30 balls.

Conditions: Overcast, 98% cloud cover, fast-bounce surface — seamers get carry, batters get pace to free their arms.

• MSG need 159 off 100 balls, RRR 9.54
• TR defend with 8 wickets still in hand on paper
• Fast, bouncy Lord's deck rewards width and pace-on shots

Tim Seifert v Ben Sanderson: Seifert's counter-punching against a bowler who thrives on bounce sets the tone for MSG's chase inside the first 20 balls.

• Loss of 2 wickets inside 30 balls stalls the chase
• Required rate climbing past 11 from ball 60 onward
• Buttler exposed too early if top order folds